Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.
Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.Polish Prime Minister Tusk told French President Macron that even if Russia and Ukraine cease fire, Polish troops will not enter Ukraine.Tongfu Microelectronics traded 2.24 million shares at a discount of 60.0768 million yuan today. Tongfu Microelectronics traded 2.24 million shares at a discount of 60.0768 million yuan today, accounting for 3.32% of the total turnover of the day, and the transaction price was 26.82 yuan, which was 9.97% lower than the market closing price of 29.79 yuan.
CEO of STELLANTIS Europe: We will never pay a fine for the EU emission reduction requirements in 2025, and we are ready to reduce production to avoid this situation.US President-elect Trump: Opposing Ukrainian armed forces to attack Russia with US long-range missiles has further escalated the conflict.The US dollar just hit the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2700 yuan, down 0.10% in the day. The US dollar against the onshore RMB was recently reported at 7.2660 yuan, up 0.06% in the day.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14